Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    34 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    36 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    40 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    51 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Telimele, Kindia - Guinea

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Chico, California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Pinal County (Margo Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Safford, Arizona - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Alachua, FL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Chittagong - Bangladesh

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twentyeight

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Seroja

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Excelsior Springs, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 44 km SSW of Gongdanglegi Kulon, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 168 km SSW of Sarangani, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 21 km S of Sumberpucung, Indonesia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - South Shetland Islands

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 195 km N of Madang, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Pacific Ocean

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - British Columbia, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cusco, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Quilotoa, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Bjaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valle Cannobina Municipality, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern Africa

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Butembo, DRC

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    8 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
February 10, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) is located approximately 923 NM southeast of Diego Garcia
Tropical Cyclone 20P is located approximately 671 NM south-southwest of Niue – Final Warning

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/19S_101800sair.jpg

Sustained 90 knot winds…with gusts to 110 knots (as of Warning Number 12)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery showed an improved structure with a weak, but well defined, eye feature in the visible and warm spot in the infrared imagery. However, subsequent imagery indicates that this feature has filled in and cloud tops have warmed. The low level circulation center remains obscured by the deep core convection

TC Faraji is currently moving very slowly southward through an overall favorable environment characterized by low to moderate 10-15 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures, being somewhat constrained by the lack of distinct outflow channel.

Over the next 12-48 hours, the ridge to the east is expected to continue to build, while extending southwestward, leading TC 19S to slowly turn southwestward as well. Environmental conditions will remain very steady during this time frame, with only small increases in wind shear, resulting in a very slow weakening trend through 48 hours.

In the first 48 hours, short-term excursions both above and below the mean intensity trend can be expected in response to short duration changes in the localized environment and diurnal effects. However, the overall intensity trend will be weakening through the forecast period.

By 72 hours, the ridge builds and moves to a position to the south of the storm, leading to a generally west to slightly west northwest track through 120 hours. Environmental conditions will become increasingly unfavorable after 72 hours, with dry air entrainment and convergent flow aloft combining to weaken the system at much higher rate between 72-120 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 20P – Final Warning

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/20P_101200sair.jpg

Sustained 40 knot winds…with gusts to 50 knots (as of Warning Number 3)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows moderate convection flaring to the south of the partially exposed low level circulation center.

The system is rapidly moving towards the south-southeast along the tight gradient between a ridge to the east and a strong mid-latitude upper-level trough to the west. TC 20P is becoming increasingly extratropical as it moves over cool waters.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

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