Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    52 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 173km NW of Hihifo, Tonga

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Kammuri

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Birao, Vakaga - Central African Republic

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Diapaga, Tapoa - Burkina Faso

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Ravensthorpe, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Esperance, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Grafton, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Katoomba, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Batemans Bay, New South Wales - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Juan Jose Castelli, Chaco - Argentina

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Chos Malal, Neuquén - Argentina

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Ambali

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 164km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Pawan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Winter Storm - Western, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 138km ENE of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Belna

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 128km SSE of Pondaguitan, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 63km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

    19 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - El Quisco, Chile

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Central New Zealand

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern New Zealand

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flooding - Northern Philippines

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern and Central South Korea

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Eastern South Korea

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Scotland, United Kingdom

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern France

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Italy

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Northern Germany

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Alaska, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Gunnison and Aspen, Colorado, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Eastern New Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern South Africa

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Western and Northern DR Congo

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Bududa, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 171km E of Kurilsk, Russia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Sironko, Uganda

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cunene Province, Angola

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwest Territories, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Madiera, Portugal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia and Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Djibouti City, Djibouti

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Pakistan

    2 weeks ago ADVISORY

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 months ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Western Wyoming, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southeastern Idaho, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northern Utah, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Fever Outbreak - Republic of the Sudan

    1 week ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
December 3, 2019

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 29W (Kammuri)…located approximately 571 NM east of Da Nang, Vietnam

Tropical Cyclone 06A…located approximately 909 NM east-southeast of Djibouti City

Tropical Cyclone 07A…located approximately 644 NM south-southeast of Karachi, Pakistan

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Tropical Cyclone 29W (Kammuri) 

Typhoon Kammuri has crossed southern Luzon and Mindoro, bringing widespread flooding and damaging winds.

Kammuri peaked in intensity just before making landfall in Sorsogon on Monday night, local time.

At that time, Kammuri was equal in strength to a Category 3 major hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean.

Sustained winds are 55 knots with gusts to 70 knots…as of Warning 34

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the environment is somewhat unfavorable with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, fair poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.

TY 29W should gradually turn west-northwestward to northwestward through 24 hours.

After 24 hours, the typhoon will get caught in a strong northeasterly wind surge, and gradually turn equatorward.

Unfavorable environmental conditions should continue to weaken TY 29W through 72 hours…with more rapid weakening after 48 hours…dissipating by 96 hours.

Since Kammuri has now entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility, defined by the World Meteorological Organization, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), it has been assigned a parallel name of “Tisoy.” The rational is that it is felt that Filipinos will respond more to familiar names and that it helps to underscore that these named weather disturbances pose a direct threat to the country.

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/io0619.gif

Tropical Cyclone 06A

Sustained winds are 35 knots with gusts to 45 knots…as of Warning 5

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, strong 20-30 knot wind shear is offsetting good poleward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures…is hampering intensification.

The system is tracking slowly poleward, and will slowly turn west-southwestward. Marginal environmental conditions will limit intensification to 40 knots at landfall, after 72 hours.

After making landfall, the system should dissipate by 96 hours.

 

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/io0719.gif

Tropical Cyclone 07A

Sustained winds are 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots…as of Warning 3

Here’s what the computer models are showing for this tropical storm

According to the JTWC, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear and fair poleward outflow, the upper levels are marginally supportive…while sea surface temperatures remain supportive as well.

By 24 hours, high wind shear should hamper intensification and will likely cause dissipation prior to 72 hours.

 

 

Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95W, located approximately 596 NM east-southeast of Yap.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the upper air environment is unfavorable for development, with westward outflow aloft offset by high 25-35 knot wind shear.

Sea surface temperatures remain favorable for development.

Global models are in good agreement that 95W will continue to track westward as an elongated circulation…with marginal to no development.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to low.

 

 

In addition, there’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 91S, which is located approximately 886 NM northwest of Mauritius

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the upper level environment is favorable for development, with low <15 knot wind shear…and moderate poleward outflow.

Sea surface temperatures remain favorable.

Global models predict that 91S will slowly intensify and track south-southwestward.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

 

Finally, there’s a third tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 92S, which is located approximately 1088 NM northeast of Mauritius

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

 

Northeast Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

PDC will resume production of these daily reports when the 2020 hurricane season begins again on May 15th.

Here’s an animated color enhanced satellite image of the central and eastern Pacific

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

PDC will resume production of these daily reports when the 2020 hurricane season begins again on June 1st.

2019 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

The 2019 hurricane season featured five tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) area of responsibility, which is near the season average. Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. The Central Pacific basin extends from 140°W to the International Date Line. Four to five tropical cyclones occur during an average year.

Hurricane Erick was the first tropical cyclone of the season in the Central Pacific, moving into the basin from the east on July 30. Erick rapidly intensified to a major hurricane (category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) later that day, then steadily weakened as it passed far south of the main Hawaiian Islands. Tropical Storm Flossie entered the basin on August 3 and approached Hawaii from the east, eventually dissipating before reaching the islands. Tropical Depression 12-E entered the basin on September 4 and strengthened to Tropical Storm Akoni. Akoni was the first tropical cyclone to be named from the Central Pacific list of names since Hurricane Walaka in 2018. Tropical Depression Kiko entered the basin on September 24 and immediately dissipated. Tropical Storm Ema, the second cyclone to be named from the Central Pacific list of names, developed southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands on October 12. Ema dissipated over the southern portion of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument shortly before crossing between French Frigate Shoals and Maro Reef.

Impacts to the State of Hawaii: Swells from Tropical Cyclone Barbara, which dissipated just before crossing into the Central Pacific basin, led to high surf along east facing shores of the state during July 6-9. Remnant moisture from Barbara also led to heavy rain across Maui and Hawaii Counties during July 8-11. Swells generated by Tropical Cyclones Erick and Flossie led to high surf along east and south facing shores during August 1-6. Moisture associated with Erick also contributed to heavy rain over Hawaii County on August 2, and across Kauai County during August 4-5.

Hurricane Season Outlook: NOAA’s 2019 hurricane season outlook issued on May 22, 2019, called for five to eight tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific basin, with a 70% chance of above-normal tropical cyclone activity, a 20% chance of near-normal activity, and a 10% chance of below-normal activity. The 2019 season started with an El Niño event that was expected to last through the fall. Instead, steady cooling commenced early in the summer leading to neutral conditions by the heart of the hurricane season.

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone  29W (Kammuri)

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone  06A

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map

Tropical Cyclone  07A

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us