Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    18 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    18 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    19 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    36 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 64 km SE of Neiafu, Tonga

    18 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 26, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)…is located approximately 128 NM northwest of Inchon, South Korea

Tropical Cyclone 13E (Hernan)…is located 415 miles southeast of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 14E (Iselle)…is located 620 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP13/refresh/EP132020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/084916_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 13E (Hernan)

According to the NHC Advisory 4Hernan is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue tonight.

A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Thursday, followed by a west-northwestward motion on Friday.

On the forecast track, the center of Hernan, along with the strongest winds and heaviest rains, is expected to remain just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so. A weakening trend is expected to begin late Thursday night, and Hernan is forecast to become a remnant low Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km), mainly to the south and southwest of the center.

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP14/refresh/EP142020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/144624_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Tropical Cyclone 14E

According to the NHC Advisory 3Iselle is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the southeast of the center.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, typhoon Bavi will tracking northward over the next 48 hours.

Upper level conditions are favorable for development, with robust poleward outflow, and low to wind shear. Despite this, continue very warm sea surface temperatures will allow the system to intensify to 105 knots by 24 hours.

Typhoon Bavi will gradually weaken as the system encounters cooler sea surface temperatures over the northern Yellow Sea and strong wind shear after 24 hours.

 

There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 480 NM east-northeast of Yap

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is in a favorable environment with good equatorward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…being offset by moderate 10-20 knot wind shear.

Models are in good agreement that the system will remain nearly stationary while consolidating over the next 48-60 hours, and intensifying before turning northward with continued development.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 is upgraded to medium.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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