Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 37 km NNE of Pangai, Tonga

    47 minutes ago WATCH

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    52 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oakdale, LA Region, United States

    52 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 25, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)…is located approximately 169 NM east-northeast of Shanghai, China

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with a low pressure system located about 250 miles west-southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. If this development trend continues, advisories could be initiated on this system early Wednesday. This disturbance is expected to move slowly northeastward near or just west of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> An elongated area of low pressure near the coast of south-central Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and its close proximity to land. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent

>>> Another low pressure system is located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization, and this system will likely become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp0920.gif

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, typhoon Bavi will tracking northward over the next 48 hours.

Upper level conditions are favorable for development, with robust poleward outflow, and low to wind shear. Despite this, continue very warm sea surface temperatures will allow the system to intensify to 105 knots by 24 hours.

Typhoon Bavi will gradually weaken as the system encounters cooler sea surface temperatures over the northern Yellow Sea and strong wind shear after 24 hours.

 

>>> There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 780 NM southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is in a favorable environment for development with low <15 wind shear, good equatorward outflow aloft, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Models are in strong agreement that the system will quickly consolidate over the next 2-3 days, and track north-northwestward.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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