Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    6 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    9 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    11 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    21 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    41 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    42 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    43 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    43 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    55 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    57 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    57 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    57 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    58 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    58 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    58 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 23, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)…is located approximately 108 NM west-northwest of Kadena AB, Okinawa

 

Northeast Pacific

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_2d0.png

Showers and thunderstorms have decreased this evening in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions still appear conducive, however, for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> A small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has changed little during the past several hours while producing only limited showers and thunderstorms. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

The elongated remnant low of Tropical Depression Ten-E, located around 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, remains disorganized this evening. Environmental conditions will remain unfavorable during the next several days as the system meanders or drifts slowly westward. Development of this system is no longer expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)…is located approximately 108 NM west-northwest of Kadena AB, Okinawa

According to the JTWC, typhoon Bavi is tracking northeastward through an environment favorable for further intensification, with very warm sea surface temperatures, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and well established equatorward outflow in the upper levels.

Typhoon Bavi will continue to track northeastward through 12 hours, while continued favorable wind shear and sea surface temperatures, will allow it to intensify to 85 knots…reaching a peak intensity of 100 knots by 48 hours.

This system will weaken slightly to 90 knots by 72 hours, due to cooling sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear.

After 72 hours, wind shear will increase to 35 knots by 96 hours, and coupled with cooling sea surface temperatures will begin to weaken the typhoon, as it continues to track northward towards the Korean peninsula.

Between 72-96 hours, the system will make landfall and begin to dissipate due to land interaction. As it tracks further into mainland China the system will dissipate by 120 hours.

 

>>> There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 93W, which is located approximately 235 NM southwest of Yokosuka, Japan

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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