Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    29 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    30 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    30 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    31 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    31 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    43 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    44 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    44 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    44 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    45 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    45 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    46 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    46 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    46 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 18, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 12E (Genevieve)…is located 220 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 08W…located approximately 67 NM west of Hong Kong – Final Warning

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

According to the NHC Advisory 11A…Genevieve is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed through Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to move near but southwest of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula tonight and Thursday, and move away from the peninsula on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts.

Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Little change in strength is expected during the next day or so, followed by weakening on Thursday and Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).

Here’s what the computer models are showing

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the southern Baja California peninsula by Wednesday afternoon, especially over higher terrain. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Wednesday night or Thursday morning, especially over higher terrain.

RAINFALL: Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches across portions of far southern Baja California Sur and portions of the southwest coast of Mexico.

SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California peninsula through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

 

>>> An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system this weekend while it moves little.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_2d0.png

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized with an area of low pressure some 1020 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii.Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for development as the system moves toward the west near 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the tropical storm will track west-northwestward.

The continued favorable conditions of low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures will fuel intensification to a peak of 50 knots, before reaching landfall south of Hong Kong, China in near 12 hours.

Afterward, the rugged Chinese terrain, in addition to increasing wind shear, will cause the system begin dissipating over land and rapidly erode the system to full dissipation over land by 36 hours.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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