Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    9 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    41 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    44 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    20 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Xique-Xique, Bahia - Brazil

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 21, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 16W (Omais)is located about 171 miles southwest of Kadena AB

 

Northeast Pacific

The remnants of Grace, located over central Mexico, are expected to continue moving westward and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean off the west-central coast of Mexico by Sunday afternoon. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent

>>> An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of southern Mexico early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week. The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Central Pacific

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 16W (Omais) 

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 39)

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows slight improvement as the compact feeder bands wrapped tighter into the low level circulation center

Analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment with low to medium wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and moderate radial outflow, offset by subsidence along the northwestern flank ahead of a mid-latitude trough.

TS 16W will turn more northward as it rounds the western edge of the ridge by 18 hours, in the East China Sea. Afterward, it will accelerate north-northeastward, cross South Korea, and by 72 hours will exit into the Sea of Japan

The marginally favorable environment will fuel a slight intensification to a peak of 55 knots at 12 hours. Afterward, increasing wind shear on the back side of the aforementioned mid-latitude trough and land interaction will gradually erode the system down to 30 knots by 72 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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