CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12E (Linda)…is located about 1065 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 16W…is located approximately 80 NM east–southeast of Navsta, Guam
Tropical Cyclone 12E (Linda)
LINDA REFUSES TO WEAKEN
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Linda
According to the NHC Advisory 28…Linda is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected by mid-week.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast over the next several days, and Linda should remain a hurricane through Wednesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).
Tropical Cyclone 16W
Sustained 20 knot winds…with gusts to 30 knots (as of Warning Number 27)
According to the JTWC…tropical depression 16W remains very disorganized system, and difficult to locate precisely. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows the low-level cloud lines that define the outer periphery of the broad circulation. Scattered flaring convection to the north is producing convective blowoff transiting over top of the assessed center location, precluding identification of a discreet low level circulation center.
While the initial intensity has been reduced to below the JTWC warning threshold, the system is forecast to regain tropical storm strength within the next 48 hours and thus warnings will continue to be issued. TD 16W is forecast to continue tracking westward along the southern periphery of the steering ridge through 12 hours, then begin a gradual turn to the northwest through the remainder of the forecast period.
The system is expected to cross over the northern tip of Guam, or just to the north, within the next 12 to 15 hours. Due to very broad nature of the circulation, the exact center location, and thus the forecast track, may shift prior to landfall.
The system will begin to intensify after passing Guam, reaching tropical storm strength by 48 hours, and intensifying steadily thereafter, to a peak of 75 knots by 120 hours.
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