Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 73 km ENE of Namie, Japan

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - W of Victorville (Pine Fire), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Yavapai County (Tussock Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 151 km SSE of Punta de Burica, Panama

    8 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Three

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Wooster, OH Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Minden, LA Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 53 km N of Goroka, Papua New Guinea

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - Kermadec Islands region

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 193 km SSE of Alo, Wallis and Futuna

    8 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Oman

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanganyika Province, Democratic Republic of Congo

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Brazil

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Uvernet-Fours Commune, France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 107 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Khabarovsk Krai, Russia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bluffton, IN Region, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nyamasheke, Rwanda

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 10 km E of Pampa de Tate, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - India

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Philippines

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 50 km SW of Acajutla, El Salvador

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 254 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Marinilla Municipality, Antioquia, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - Mauritius - Reunion region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Afghanistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tajikistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    9 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
April 24, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Sub-Tropical Storm 02W (Surigae)…is located 438 NM west-southwest of Iwo To, Japan – Final Warning
Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo) is located 73 NM south-southwest of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Final Warning
 

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/02W_241800sair.jpg

Sub-Tropical Storm 02W (Surigae) Final Warning

Sustained 40 knot winds…with gusts to 50 knots (as of Warning Number 46)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Looping, wide view satellite image…showing TS Surigae

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a steadily weakening convective structure, with weak convective activity constrained to the northeast quadrant of the broad, increasingly disorganized low level circulation.

The overall environment is becoming increasingly hostile, with wind shear now exceeding 35 knots and cool sea surface temperatures.

While the previous six hour track has been towards the east-southeast, over the next 12 hours, 02W is forecast to begin tracking to the east, then accelerate northeastward through the remainder of the forecast under the influence of the strong mid-level southwesterly flow.

As the system begins to interact with the major shortwave trough, it will develop significant thermal advection, ultimately transitioning to a strong, gale-force extratropical system by 36 hours as it races northeastward under the mid-latitude westerlies.

 

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/29S_241800sair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo) Final Warning

Sustained 25 knot winds…with gusts to 35 knots (as of Warning Number 9)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows that disorganized convection has flared up over the past six hours, reforming over and just east of the assessed low level center, indicative of a slight relaxation in the shear environment.

TC Jobo is moving slowly west-northwestward along the northern periphery of an east-west oriented low to mid-level ridge. The overall environment remains favorable, with low 10-15 knot wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.

The main hindrance to any significant development prior to landfall is the presence of a region of relatively drier air to the west, prohibiting the recent flaring convection from expanding and persisting. Jobo is expected to make landfall just south of Dar es Salaam within the next 12 hours as a minimal tropical storm, before moving rapidly inland and quickly dissipating.

 

IR Satellite Image

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96P, which is located approximately 768 NM southeast of Papeete, French Polynesia

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is currently classified as a subtropical storm, generally characterized as having both tropical and mid-latitude cyclone features.

Satellite imagery indicates the system is located directly under a broad upper level cold core low, with formative, spiral banding wrapping into a low level circulation with deep convection in the northwest and southeast peripheries.

Environmental analysis for invest 96p indicates a hostile environment, not conducive for tropical development due to convergence aloft and cool sea surface temperatures.

Global models show a general southward track with minimal intensification over the next 24-36 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 30-35 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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