Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    54 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    46 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.6 - 257 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 73 km ENE of Namie, Japan

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Victorville (Pine Fire), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Yavapai County (Tussock Fire), Arizona, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 151 km SSE of Punta de Burica, Panama

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Three

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Wooster, OH Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Minden, LA Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 53 km N of Goroka, Papua New Guinea

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - Kermadec Islands region

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 193 km SSE of Alo, Wallis and Futuna

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Oman

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanganyika Province, Democratic Republic of Congo

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Mexico

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Brazil

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Uvernet-Fours Commune, France

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 107 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Khabarovsk Krai, Russia

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bluffton, IN Region, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nyamasheke, Rwanda

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 10 km E of Pampa de Tate, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - India

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Philippines

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 50 km SW of Acajutla, El Salvador

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 254 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Marinilla Municipality, Antioquia, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - Mauritius - Reunion region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Afghanistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tajikistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    9 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
April 22, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Typhoon 02W (Surigae)…is located 253 NM south of Kadena AB, Okinawa
Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo) is located 618 NM north-northwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/02W_221800sair.jpg

Typhoon 02W (Surigae)

Sustained 80 knot winds…with gusts to 100 knots (as of Warning Number 39)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Looping, wide view satellite image…showing TY Surigae

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows deep convection has become increasingly fragmented, cloud tops have warmed significantly within the eastern portion of the circulation and a clear eye is no longer evident in infrared satellite imagery.

Environmental analysis indicates moderate and increasing wind shear (about 20 knots), marginal sea surface temperatures, and persistent, favorably strong eastward and poleward outflow aloft.

TY 02W will continue to turn eastward and dip slightly equatorward over the next 36 to 48 hours. Steady weakening is expected as westerly wind shear increases and along track sea surface temperatures decrease.

Strong wind shear and passage over cooler water will lead to steady weakening in the medium term. However, a mid-latitude trough is expected to sustain the system near storm force (50 knots), as the system undergoes extratropical transition.

In the extended period, TY 02S is expected to accelerate northeastward and complete extratropical transition as a strong low pressure system as it merges with a mid-latitude trough.

 

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/29S_230000sair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo)

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 5)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, although sea surface temperatures are high, moderate wind shear (15-20 knots) and convergent flow aloft, have induced a slow weakening trend. TC 29S is expected to continue tracking west-northwestward under the steering influence of subtropical ridging to the south. until it makes landfall in central Tanzania around 72 hours.

Additional weakening is anticipated as generally unfavorable upper-level conditions persist, with dissipation below the 35 knot warning threshold now expected to occur by 72 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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