Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 6.6 - 257 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia

    9 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    14 minutes ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 73 km ENE of Namie, Japan

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    34 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Victorville (Pine Fire), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Yavapai County (Tussock Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 151 km SSE of Punta de Burica, Panama

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Three

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Wooster, OH Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Minden, LA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 53 km N of Goroka, Papua New Guinea

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - Kermadec Islands region

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 193 km SSE of Alo, Wallis and Futuna

    8 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Oman

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanganyika Province, Democratic Republic of Congo

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Brazil

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Uvernet-Fours Commune, France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 107 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Khabarovsk Krai, Russia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bluffton, IN Region, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nyamasheke, Rwanda

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 10 km E of Pampa de Tate, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - India

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Philippines

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 50 km SW of Acajutla, El Salvador

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 254 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Marinilla Municipality, Antioquia, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - Mauritius - Reunion region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Afghanistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tajikistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    9 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
April 17, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Super Typhoon 02W (Surigae)…is located 399 NM east of Manila, Philippines

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/02W_180000sair.jpg

Super Typhoon 02W (Surigae)

Sustained 150 knot winds…with gusts to 180 knots (as of Warning Number 19)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a diminishing eye measuring approximately 10 NM, lending to high confidence on the initial position.

Analysis indicates a favorable environment with continued robust radial outflow, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures in the Philippine Sea.

STY 02W is slowly tracking to the north-northwest as the subtropical ridge to the east-northeast builds. This ridge will remain the main steering ridge as the system tracks to the north-
northeast.

STY Surigae will continue to slowly decrease in intensity as it progresses through the ridge and decreases sea surface temperatures, due to greater upwelling. As STY 02W approaches the ridge axis within the next 12 to 24 hours, the northward trajectory will slow as it enters a slightly weaker steering environment.

Over the next 36 to 48 hours the environment will become less favorable as the poleward outflow decreases slightly and shear increases to the north, decreasing the system intensity to 85 knots by 72 hours.

After 72 hours, STY Surigae will begin its recurve to the northeast. The environment becomes slightly less favorable as upper level divergence decreases, and wind shear continues to increase, leading to a natural weakening of the system to 65 knots by 120 hours.

Numerical models have clustered closer and remain in the Philippine Sea with no model member tracking toward Luzon.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us