Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 6.6 - 257 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia

    22 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    27 minutes ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 73 km ENE of Namie, Japan

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Victorville (Pine Fire), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Yavapai County (Tussock Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 151 km SSE of Punta de Burica, Panama

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Three

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Wooster, OH Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Minden, LA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pocahontas, AR Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 53 km N of Goroka, Papua New Guinea

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - Kermadec Islands region

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 193 km SSE of Alo, Wallis and Futuna

    8 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Oman

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanganyika Province, Democratic Republic of Congo

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northeastern Brazil

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Uvernet-Fours Commune, France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 107 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Khabarovsk Krai, Russia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bluffton, IN Region, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Vietnam

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nyamasheke, Rwanda

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 10 km E of Pampa de Tate, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - India

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Philippines

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 50 km SW of Acajutla, El Salvador

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 254 km NNE of Tobelo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Marinilla Municipality, Antioquia, Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - Mauritius - Reunion region

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern Afghanistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tajikistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - China

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Storms - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    9 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    9 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
April 10, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 26S (Seroja)…is located approximately 255 NM west of Learmonth, Australia
Tropical Cyclone 28P…is located approximately 99 NM southeast of Noumea, New Caledonia

 

 

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/26S_101800sair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 26S (Seroja)

Sustained 65 knot winds…with gusts to 80 knots (as of Warning Number 26)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts consolidated core convection associated with a robust poleward outflow channel.

TC 26S is expected to accelerate southeastward through the forecast period within the mid-latitude westerly flow poleward of a deep-layered subtropical ridge positioned to the northeast.

The system will begin extra-tropical transition (ett) near 12 hours, and will quickly complete ett by 36 hours as it becomes embedded within the westerlies and gains frontal characteristics.

TC 26S will weaken steadily after 12 hours as it encounters strong 25-35 knots and tracks over southwestern Australia.

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/28P_101800sair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 28P

Sustained 35 knot winds…with gusts to 45 knots (as of Warning Number 1)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts a consolidating system with well-organized core convection and convective banding. Earlier radar imagery from New Caledonia had shown an eye feature and current radar imagery still shows tightly-curved banding wrapping into a well-defined low-level circulation center.

Despite the system’s hybrid nature and location within fairly strong northwesterly flow, and persistent low to moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, TC 28P was able to develop persistent central convection and spiral banding over the northeast, east and southwest quadrants.

TC 28P is expected to be a short-lived system as it tracks southeastward within the persistent northwesterly flow along the
southwestern periphery of a deep-layered subtropical ridge. Wind Shear is expected to increase to 35 knots by 24 hours, which will produce steady weakening and dissipation no later than 24 hours.

 

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/SHEM/91S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210410.140000.SH912021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.25kts.100p0.1p0.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 91S, which is located approximately 314 NM southwest of Christmas Island

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals disorganized cycling convection in the eastern periphery of a broad, elongated low level circulation center.

Invest 91S is in a marginal environment for tropical development with minimal poleward outflow and high 20-25 knot wind shear, which is slightly offset by warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in general agreement that invest 91S will track east-southeast over the next 24-48 hours with minimal development.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/WPAC/94W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210410.140000.WP942021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.15kts.100p0.1p0.jpg

There’s a third tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 632 NM south of Guam

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows fragmented banding wrapping into a weak low level circulation with cycling convection in the northern and southern semi-circles.

Invest 94W is in a favorable environment for tropical development with robust westward outflow aloft, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in general agreement that the circulation in association with invest 94W will consolidate as it tracks to the northwest over the next 24-36 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 13-18 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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