Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 37 km NNE of Pangai, Tonga

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oakdale, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 9, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)…is located 995 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands
Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)...is located is located 675 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands

 

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/13/GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL172020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023357_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)

What the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 13Paulette is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).

A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected through Friday. A northwestward motion should begin Friday night and continue into the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However,

Paulette could restrengthen early next week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

 

Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL182020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/115107_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 12Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a motion toward the west-northwest is expected for the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

 

>>> Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low pressure area of of the coast of the Carolinas has weakened to a trough. The system is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and move inland over eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the chances for significant development by that time are decreasing. Interests along the coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

>>> A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

>>> A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa later today. Gradual development is anticipated once the system moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico: 

Caribbean: 

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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