Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    27 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    27 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    27 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    28 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    28 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    41 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    41 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    41 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    43 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    43 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    44 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 6, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 17L…is located 1425 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL172020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023357_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

What the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 1, The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue into Monday. By late Monday and Tuesday, a turn toward the west-northwest is expected, and that motion should continue into Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Monday.

>>> Showers and thunderstorms continue to steadily increase and are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located just west of Senegal. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely there Monday night and Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Watch or Warning could be required for the islands by early Monday.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> A trough of low pressure located just to the southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

>>> A new tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa by the middle to latter part of this week. Some gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system moves generally westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico: 

Caribbean: 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea south of Jamaica and extending northward across the island is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain unfavorable for development for the next several days while the system moves westward, and tropical cyclone formation is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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