CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)…is located about 1135 miles southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
LARGE LARRY LUMBERING ACROSS THE OPEN ATLANTIC…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
According the NHC Advisory 22…Larry is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a slight decrease in forward speed over the next several days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, with very gradual weakening thereafter.
Larry is a large and expanding hurricane. Hurricane-force winds now extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF: Swells generated by Larry are reaching the Lesser Antilles and are expected to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda on Monday and Tuesday. Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada by midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
What the computer models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 91L
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance. Locally heavy rains are likely to continue today over that area.
The system is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today, then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico.
Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation, but some slow development is possible while the system moves across the Gulf of Mexico through the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent