CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)…is located about 1510 miles southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
LARRY IS A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG MANY WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES NEXT WEEK
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
According the NHC Advisory 17…Larry is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A somewhat slower west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, followed by some intensity fluctuations.
However, Larry is expected to remain at major hurricane strength through the early part of next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles on Sunday, and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda Monday and Tuesday.
Significant swells will likely reach the eastern United States coastline after Labor Day. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
What the computer models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 91L
A weak surface trough over portions of the western Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
The disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, then moved northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico Monday and Tuesday.
Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual development on Tuesday or Wednesday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America through Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent