CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)…is located about 1230 miles east of the Leeward Islands
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
LARRY LUNGES TO MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG MANY WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES NEXT WEEK
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
According the NHC Advisory 14…Larry is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through late Saturday.
A motion toward the northwest at a slower forward speed is forecast to begin Sunday morning and continue through Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Additional strengthening is forecast over the next day or two, and Larry is expected to remain at major hurricane strength through the early part of next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).
What the computer models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 91L
A surface trough over portions of Central America and the southern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
This system is expected to move northwestward during the next day or so, bringing locally heavy rains to these areas.
The disturbance is expected to move over the southwestern or south-central Gulf of Mexico late this weekend, and then move generally northward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico early next week.
Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual development by Tuesday or Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent