Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    55 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 37 km NNE of Pangai, Tonga

    19 minutes ago WATCH

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    24 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oakdale, LA Region, United States

    24 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    38 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    47 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 3, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)…is located 385 miles east-northeast of Bermuda
Remnants of Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)…is located 120 miles northwest of Guatemala City, Guatemala – Last Advisory

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT15/refresh/AL152020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/144940_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/15L.OMAR/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200903.2100.goes16.x.vis1km_high.15LOMAR.30kts-1005mb-356N-605W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 14…The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 10 mph (17 km/h).

A turn to the east is expected late tonight with a slowing of the forward speed. A turn to the northeast is expected by Friday night, followed by an increase in forward speed on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

Gradual weakening is expected, and Omar should degenerate into a remnant low Friday morning then dissipate over the weekend.

>>> Shower activity has increased today in association with a non-tropical area of low pressure located over the north-central Atlantic, about 625 miles south of Cape Race Newfoundland. Some slight subtropical or tropical development of this system is possible before it reaches cooler waters later on Friday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

>>> A broad area of low pressure located over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible early next week once the larger tropical wave located off of the coast of Africa passes to the north of the system on Sunday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

>>> A tropical wave located off the coast of west Africa is merging with another disturbance located a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, resulting in an extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is expected to be slow during the next couple of days while it moves west- northwestward at about 15 mph. After that, a tropical depression is more likely to form early next week over the central tropical Atlantic where environmental conditions are forecast to be more favorable for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

>>> Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa over the weekend. An area of low pressure is expected to form from the wave early next week. Gradual development of this low is then expected, and a tropical depression could form while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

 

Gulf of Mexico: 

Caribbean: 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/175306_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/16L.NANA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200903.2330.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.16LNANA.35kts-1005mb-161N-905W.100pc.jpg

Retiring Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana) – Last Advisory

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 12…The remnants are moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday night.

The remnants of Nana are forecast to move over the eastern Pacific waters near the Gulf of Tehuantepec later tonight or on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday:

Central to western Guatemala and the Mexican state of Chiapas: An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected, bringing event totals to 3 to 6 inches. 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected in southern Oaxaca through Friday.

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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