Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Spassk Dalniy, Primorye - Russia

    41 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Fujin, Heilongjiang - China

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yichun, Heilongjiang - China

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    52 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Alice Springs, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Newcastle Waters, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands - Spain

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of San Carlos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Trinidad, El Beni - Bolivia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Astoria, OR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Yasur, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Rick

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 28 km SSW of Valparaíso, Chile

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Sandwich Islands region

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 19 km ENE of Hualien City, Taiwan

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km NE of Ak-Dovurak, Russia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - South Sandwich Islands region

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 126 km S of Hihifo, Tonga

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Guatemala

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 62 km E of Waitara, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Stroms - Semarang Regency, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola - North Kivu Province, DRC

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Floods - Davao Oriental Province, Philippines

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uttarakhand, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hanoi, Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Honduras and Nicaragua

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Agen, Aquitaine - France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kerala, India

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Quang Binh Province, Vietnam

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 21, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 16L (Peter)…is located about 175 miles east-northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Rose)…is located about 1020 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands

 


Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 16L (Peter)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/CAR/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-CAR-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

20210921.123020.AL162021.abi.goes-16.Infrared-Gray.45kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

time of arrival graphic

DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH STRONG SHEAR

According to the NHC Advisory 14…The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the north is expected by late tomorrow, followed by a north-northeastward or northeastward motion through the end of the week. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will continue moving away from the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Peter is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola later today and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

 

Tropical Cyclone 17L (Rose)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

20210921.123020.AL172021.abi.goes-16.Infrared-Gray.40kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

time of arrival graphic

ROSE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION

According to the NHC Advisory 12…The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday. A turn toward the north is expected on Thursday, followed by a northeastward motion by Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in intensity is expected during the next couple of days, however Rose is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Friday.

 

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have increased since this morning and are beginning to show signs of organization. Recent satellite wind data also indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed, but the system lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

 

A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 500 miles west of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a small counter-clockwise loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

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