Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    9 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    31 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Java Province, Indonesia

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Quang Nam Province, Vietnam

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern England, United Kingdom

    21 minutes ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    26 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    33 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    33 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lexington Park--California--Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    15 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 21, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES: 
Tropical Cyclone 20L (Teddy)…is located 495 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia
Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)…is located 15 miles north-northwest of Port O’Connor, Texas
Tropical Cyclone Paulette…is located 300 miles south-southeast of the Azores

 

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/13/GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif

 

Tropical Cyclone Paulette

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL172020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023748_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 40…Paulette is moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Tuesday night. A much slower eastward or east-southeastward motion is expected by late Wednesday and Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through early Tuesday. Gradual weakening should begin by late Tuesday and continue through Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center.

 

Tropical Cyclone 20L (Teddy)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT20/refresh/AL202020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/204325_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/20L.TEDDY/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200921.1430.goes16.x.vis1km_high.20LTEDDY.80kts-960mb-305N-630W.100pc.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/CAR/13/GOES16-CAR-13-1000x1000.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT20/refresh/AL202020_earliest_reasonable_toa_34+png/235238_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/20L_tracks_latest.png

According to the NHC Advisory 39A…Teddy is moving toward the north-northwest near 25 mph (41 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected by early Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday, and then near or over Newfoundland later on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy should begin to weaken tonight and Wednesday, and become a strong post-tropical cyclone near Nova Scotia. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km).

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean: 

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico: 

Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/230146_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/22L.BETA/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200921.1430.goes17.x.vis1km_high.22LBETA.45kts-996mb-278N-955W.100pc.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_earliest_reasonable_toa_34+png/235034_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL2220WPCQPF+gif/235034WPCQPF_sm.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_peak_surge+png/235034_peak_surge.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/22L_tracks_latest.png

Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 18A…Beta is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow north to northeast motion is expected today, and a faster east-northeastward motion should begin tonight and continue on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will move near the coast of southeastern Texas today and on Wednesday. Surface observations and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is anticipated during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. A wind gust to 48 mph (78 km/h) was reported at Port Lavaca, Texas, over the past couple of hours.

 

>>> An area of showers and thunderstorms located over the Central Bahamas, the Florida Keys and the Straits of Florida is associated with a frontal system. This disturbance is forecast to continue moving southward over central and western Cuba during the next couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through Saturday. Marginally conducive environmental conditions are expected when the system approaches the Florida Keys and South Florida late this week, and development, if any, should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across the Florida Keys tonight, and over western Cuba on Tuesday and Wednesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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