CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)…is located about 765 miles west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands
Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
LARRY LIKELY TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 12L (Larry)
According the NHC Advisory 9…Larry is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A gradual turn towards the west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days.
A turn to the northwest is then expected by early next week.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Significant to possibly rapid intensification is forecast during the next couple of days, and Larry is expected to become a major hurricane tomorrow night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km).
>>> Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure about 280 miles southeast of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization.
Some development of this system could occur during the next 12-24 hours as the low moves generally westward at 10-15 mph.
After that time, conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
What the computer models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 91L
A small area of low pressure over northeastern Nicaragua is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over portions of the western Caribbean Sea.
A portion of the low’s circulation could move over the Gulf of Honduras on Friday. However, development there, if any, is expected to be slow to occur.
This system could then move over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend and early next week, but by then strong upper-level winds would likely limit significant development.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent