Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    56 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Malakal, Upper Nile - South Sudan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yei, Central Equatoria - South Sudan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SE of Juba, Central Equatoria - South Sudan

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Kimi

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Joshua

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Myrtle Beach--Socastee, SC--NC Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Rockies and Plains, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highsurf - Warning (Hawaiian Islands)

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Eloise

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 58 km NNE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Lufkin, TX Region, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Sandwich Islands region

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 38 km SSW of Jurm, Afghanistan

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Obo, Haut-Mbomou - Central African Republic

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 50 km NE of Bandar-e Lengeh, Iran

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Riverside County (Bonita Fire), California, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Pakistan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Central Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Greece

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northeastern France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - British Columbia, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Caraga Region, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Western Highlands Province, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Mindanao Region, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tamil Nadu, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Randall County (East Fire Fire), Texas, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Southern Quebec, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southwestern Greece

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northwestern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Japan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Tome (Cerro Estanque Fire), Chile

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southwestern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    4 days ago ADVISORY

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Madagascar

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - South Africa

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kenya

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Asia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Soufriere, St Vincent and the Grenadines

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    5 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Madeira, Portugal

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    3 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 2, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)…is located 265 miles north of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)…is located 60 miles southeast of Belize City, Belize

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

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Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT15/refresh/AL152020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/144940_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/15L.OMAR/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200902.2330.goes16.x.ir1km_bw.15LOMAR.30kts-1005mb-361N-664W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 10…The depression is moving toward the east near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday.

A turn toward the east-northeast with some reduction in forward speed is forecast on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

Further weakening is forecast, and Omar is likely to become a remnant low Thursday and dissipate by Saturday night.

 

>>> An area of low pressure located about midway between the Windward Islands and west Africa is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this week as it drifts generally westward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

>>> A tropical wave, located just off the coast of west Africa, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. The wave is expected to merge with a disturbance centered a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands toward the end of the week. Gradual development of this system is then possible, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico: 

Caribbean: 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/175306_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/16L.NANA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200902.2330.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.16LNANA.50kts-999mb-171N-852W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 8…Nana is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward or west-southwestward motion is expected tonight and Thursday.

On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north of the coast of Honduras and the Bay Islands this evening, and the center should make landfall on the coast of Belize tonight or early Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.

While Nana has not strengthened during the past several hours, strengthening is expected before landfall, and Nana could become a hurricane by the time the center reaches the coast of Belize.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.Nana is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a westward or west-southwestward motion is expected tonight and Thursday.

On the forecast track, Nana will make landfall along the coast of Belize within the Hurricane Warning area overnight, and move inland over Belize and Guatemala on Thursday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts.

Little additional change in strength is expected before Nana makes landfall. Rapid weakening is expected on Thursday as Nana moves farther inland.

Nana is a small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions and tropical storm conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area in Belize through early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Belize, Guatemala, and Mexico through early Thursday, with hurricane conditions possible in the Hurricane Watch area overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in Isla Roatan and the Bay Islands for a few more hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in Honduras.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday:

Northern coast of Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.

Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas and Tabasco: 3 to 6 inches, isolated totals of 8 inches

The southeast portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo: 2 to 4 inches.

The eastern portions of the Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca: 6 to 8 inches, isolated totals of 12 inches.

These rainfall amounts may produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Nana are affecting the coasts of Honduras and Belize, and the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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