Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lexington Park--California--Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD Region, United States

    38 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    31 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    49 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    59 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    15 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 19, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES: 
Tropical Cyclone 20L (Teddy)…is located 405 miles south-southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)…is located 325 miles east of Corpus Christi, Texas
Tropical Cyclone 23L (Wilfred)…1105 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands

 

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/13/GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif

 

Tropical Cyclone 20L (Teddy)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT20/refresh/AL202020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/204325_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/CAR/13/GOES16-CAR-13-1000x1000.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT20/refresh/AL202020_earliest_reasonable_toa_34+png/235238_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/20L_tracks_latest.png

According to the NHC Advisory 31…Teddy is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue into Sunday. A turn toward the north is expected by Sunday night followed by a faster northward motion early next week. On the forecast track, Teddy will approach Bermuda on Sunday night, and the center will pass just east of the island Monday morning.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A weakening trend is expected to begin Sunday night. Teddy is a large hurricane.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). Teddy’s wind field is likely to become even larger over the next few days.

 

Tropical Cyclone 23L (Wilfred)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT23/refresh/AL232020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/143359_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/23L.WILFRED/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200919.1700.goes16.x.vis1km_high.23LWILFRED.35kts-1007mb-131N-374W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone (Wilfred)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 7…Wilfred is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday, followed by a slower westward motion late Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Sunday.

Gradual Weakening is expected Sunday night and Monday, and Wilfred is expected to dissipate by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

 

>>> Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is moving southward and is now located a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores. The cyclone is forecast to continue southward for the next day or so and then stall over marginally warm waters a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The cyclone could subsequently develop tropical or subtropical characteristics by early next week while it moves little.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

>>> A tropical wave is located near the west coast of Africa and will move westward over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur during that time.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean: 

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico: 

Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/230146_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_earliest_reasonable_toa_34+png/235034_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL2220WPCQPF+gif/235034WPCQPF_sm.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT22/refresh/AL222020_peak_surge+png/235034_peak_surge.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/22L_tracks_latest.png

Tropical Cyclone 22L (Beta)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 10…Beta has drifted toward the north-northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h) since this morning. A slow motion toward the west-northwest is forecast to begin on Sunday, followed by a slow northwest to north motion late Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will move toward the coast of Texas and potentially move inland late Monday or early Tuesday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days before Beta reaches the Texas coast.

Weakening is anticipated once Beta moves inland Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) mainly to the north of the center.

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Connect with us