Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    32 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    56 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    59 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    21 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 14, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone Nicholas…is located about 15 miles west-northwest of Port Arthur, Texas
 

Atlantic Ocean

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands are becoming better organized.

Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles north-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves north-northwestward to northward across the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

>>> A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast of Africa toward the end of the week.

Environment conditions are forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, while it moves generally west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

 

Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Nicholas

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

time of arrival graphic

NICHOLAS MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS…LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

According to the NHC Advisory 12…The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow motion toward the east is expected tonight through Wednesday night, followed by a northward drift on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Nicholas is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low Wednesday night or early Thursday.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 

RAINFALL: Nicholas is expected to produce additional rainfall of 5 to 10 inches from the upper Texas coastal area into central to southern Louisiana, far southern Mississippi and far southern Alabama, with isolated storm totals of 20 inches across central to southern Louisiana. Life-threatening flash flooding impacts, especially in urbanized metropolitan areas, are possible across these regions.

Widespread minor to isolated major river flooding is expected across portions of the upper Texas Gulf Coast and southern Louisiana and Mississippi.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

San Luis Pass to High Island, TX including Galveston Bay…3-5 ft
High Island, TX to Rutherford Beach, LA…2-4 ft
Port Aransas, TX to San Luis Pass, TX…1-3 ft
Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, and Matagorda Bay…1-3 ft
Rutherford Beach, LA to Intracoastal City, LA…1-3 ft
Sabine Lake and Calcasieu Lake…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within the warning area across the upper Texas coast through this morning, and begin along the Louisiana coast later this morning.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two will be possible today along the upper Texas Coast and southern Louisiana.

SURF: swells generated by Nicholas will continue affecting portions of the northwest Gulf coast today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

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