Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    21 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    22 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    22 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    23 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    23 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    35 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    35 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    36 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    36 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    38 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    38 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 10, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)…is located 1075 miles southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)...is located is located 925 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands

 

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/13/GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT17/refresh/AL172020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023357_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)

What the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 17Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Recently received satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Friday. Gradual strengthening is expected to begin Friday night, and Paulette is forecast to become a hurricane this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

 

Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL182020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/115107_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 16Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Friday, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Saturday. A northwestward motion at slower forward speed is forecast Saturday night and Sunday. Satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

>>> A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Central and Northwest Bahamas eastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. This system is forecast to move westward, crossing the Bahamas and Florida on Friday and moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Upper-level winds are expected to become conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves slowly west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of South Florida and the Keys during the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

>>> A tropical wave is located a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico: 

A trough of low pressure is located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished since earlier today, some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Caribbean: 

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Connect with us