Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    9 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 64 km SE of Neiafu, Tonga

    9 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    9 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    59 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    53 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 1, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)…is located 310 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)…is located 485 miles east of Belize City

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

 

Atlantic Ocean:  

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/15L.OMAR/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200901.2330.goes16.x.ir1km_bw.15LOMAR.30kts-1007mb-350N-722W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 6

Omar is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A turn to the east is forecast to occur Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change is strength is expected through Wednesday. A weakening trend should begin Wednesday night, and Omar is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.

>>> Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure about midway between the Windward Islands and west Africa appear to be slowly becoming better organized. Some additional development of this system is possible this week as the system meanders in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

SURF: Swells generated by the depression will continue to affect portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina through this evening, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

>>> Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure about midway between the Windward Islands and west Africa appear to be slowly becoming better organized. Some additional development of this system is possible this week as the system meanders in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

>>> A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa on Wednesday and merge with a disturbance centered a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands in the next day or so. Gradual development of this system is then possible, and this system could become a tropical depression by this weekend while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Gulf of Mexico: 

Caribbean: 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/175306_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/16L.NANA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200901.2330.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.16LNANA.45kts-1002mb-167N-784W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 4…Nana is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A westward or west-southwestward motion is expected Wednesday night and Thursday. On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north of the coast of Honduras on Wednesday and likely be approaching the coast of Belize Wednesday night and early Thursday. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Nana is forecast to become a hurricane on Wednesday or Wednesday night before it reaches the coast of Belize. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area beginning Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by late Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area on Wednesday.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in Belize, and 2 to 4 inches across northern Honduras and the southeast portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo.

SURF: Swells generated by this system are affecting portions of the southern coast of Jamaica, and will continue into Wednesday morning. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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