CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 28L (Zeta)…is located 40 miles northwest of Tulum, Mexico
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
ZETA BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According the NHC Advisory 10A…Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. Zeta should turn toward the north tonight, and a faster northward to north-northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over the northern Yucatan Peninsula this morning, move over the southern Gulf of Mexico later today, and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the watch area on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is likely while Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula this morning. Zeta is forecast to re-strengthen when it moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico later today, and be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). A WeatherFlow observing site near Cancun recently reported sustained winds of 53 mph (85 km/h) and a gust to 68 mph (109 km/h).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of Zeta’s track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba.
Heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf Coast Tuesday night, spreading inland across eastern Mississippi, Alabama, northern Georgia during Wednesday, through the southern Appalachians Wednesday night and into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in Mexico by late today. Tropical storm conditions could occur in the warning area in western Cuba beginning later today.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico:
Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico