CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 31L (Iota)…is located 45 miles east-northeast of Isla De Providencia, Columbia
Tropical Cyclone 31L (Iota)
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE…EXPECTED TO BRING POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE- THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According the NHC advisory 11A…Iota is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected through landfall. After landfall, a westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the core of Iota will pass near or over Providencia island during the next few hours, and make landfall within the hurricane warning area in northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras tonight. Reports from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts.
Iota is now a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Iota is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it approaches Central America tonight.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).
>>> An area of low pressure could form in a few days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur late this week while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico:
Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico