Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - SW of Aweil, North Bahr-al-Ghazal - South Sudan

    19 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    22 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    29 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    18 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 75 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 10, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES: 
Tropical Cyclone 29L (Eta)…is located 270 miles south-southwest of Tampa, Florida
Tropical Cyclone 30L (Theta)…is located 770 miles southwest of the Azores

 

Atlantic Ocean: 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png

 

Sub-Tropical Cyclone 30L (Theta)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT30/refresh/AL302020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/030127_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/30L.THETA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201110.0500.msg4.x.ir1km_bw.30LTHETA.45kts-1000mb-288N-410W.100pc.jpg

THETA MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY AS IT MOVES OVER THE OPEN EASTERN ATLANTIC

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According the NHC advisory 5…Theta is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 72 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

 

Caribbean:

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

The wave is expected to move slowly westward into more conducive environmental conditions over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend when the wave reaches the central or western Caribbean Sea.

Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible flash flooding to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of Hispaniola over the next couple of days.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico: 

Tropical Cyclone 29L (ETA)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT29/refresh/AL292020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/205343_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/gm/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT29/refresh/AL292020_earliest_reasonable_toa_34+png/205343_earliest_reasonable_toa_34.png

https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/MAX_WEB_TROP_ATL6_ww1_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&width=980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&quality=60

https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/DCT_SPECIAL2_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&width=980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&quality=60

https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/DCT_SPECIAL50_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&width=980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&quality=60

https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/DCT_SPECIAL16_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&width=980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&quality=60

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT29/refresh/AL292020_peak_surge+png/095313_peak_surge.png

https://s.w-x.co/staticmaps/DCT_SPECIAL13_1280x720.jpg?crop=16:9&width=980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&quality=60

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/29L_tracks_latest.png

Tropical Storm Eta could gain some additional strength in the Gulf of Mexico through Wednesday, although is expected to weaken…as it potentially approaches the Gulf Coast later in the week.

Tropical Cyclone Eta has also made history, matching the strength of the strongest storm of this active 2020 hurricane season (Hurricane Laura)…when its winds peaked at 150 mph earlier this week.

ETA’S RAIN BANDS MOVING OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AND APPROACHING SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA

Looping radar from Tampa,  Florida

According the NHC Advisory 43A… Eta is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the north-northeast is forecast through Thursday.

On the forecast track the center of Eta will move closer to but offshore of the southwest coast of Florida today, approach the west-central coast of Florida Wednesday night, and move inland over the northern portion of the Florida peninsula on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast today, and Eta could be near hurricane strength late this morning.

Gradual weakening is expected to begin Wednesday night or early Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. Buoy 42026 from the University of South Florida located about 75 miles northeast of the center of Eta recently reported sustained winds of 36 mph (57 km/h) with a gust to 54 mph (86 km/h).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL:  Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts today and tonight:

Western Cuba: an additional 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm), with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 25 inches (765 mm).

South Florida: an additional 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm), with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 15-20 inches

Flash and river flooding will be possible in western Cuba, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain. Additional flash and urban flooding, especially across previously inundated areas, will be possible in South Florida today and tonight.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Dry Tortugas overnight and early Wednesday.

Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area along the Florida west coast by Thursday afternoon.

SURF: Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect the north coast of Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, southern and western Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

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