Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    6 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    7 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 66 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia

    23 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Hudson Bay, Saskatchewan - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    9 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    11 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    14 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    23 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 8, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa) is located 170 miles southwest of Atlantic City, New Jersey…according to the NHC Advisory 36

 

Atlantic Ocean

time of arrival graphic

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/KAKQ_loop.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0521WPCERO+gif/204840WPCERO_sm.gif

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_tracks_latest.png

ELSA APPROACHING CHESAPEAKE BAY…FLASH FLOODING THREAT IN THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES CONTINUES

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Elsa is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days.

On the forecast track, Elsa will pass through the eastern mid-Atlantic states tonight and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday and Friday night.

The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.

No significant change in strength is expected through Friday, and Elsa is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) mostly southeast of the center.

A WeatherFlow station on Pamlico Sound recently reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) gusting to 58 mph (93 km/h).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the mid-Atlantic coast overnight. These winds will spread northward in the warning area over the northeastern states on Friday.

RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts and impacts the rest of this week:

Over the eastern Mid Atlantic States into New England…2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated totals up to 6 inches are possible through Friday, which could result in limited flash and urban flooding for the northern Mid-Atlantic States and considerable flash and urban flooding in New England. Isolated minor river flooding is also expected.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two will be possible overnight along the Mid-Atlantic coast.

Key Messages:

1. As Elsa moves across the eastern mid-Atlantic overnight, heavy rainfall may result in limited flash and urban flooding. Heavy rainfall across New England through Friday could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding.

2. Tropical storm conditions should continue along portions of the mid-Atlantic coast overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the southern New England states and New York by Friday. Gusty winds are expected over portions of Atlantic Canada Friday night and Saturday.

Gulf of Mexico

A broad area of low pressure, over south Texas, is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Although development of this system is not anticipated since it is expected to drift westward and remain over land, heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be possible along the Texas Gulf coast over the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent

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