Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    21 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    21 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    26 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    36 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    42 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    43 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    13 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    16 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 7, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa) is located 105 miles north-northwest of Brunswick, Georgia…according to the NHC Advisory 32A

 

Gulf of Mexico

time of arrival graphic

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0521WPCERO+gif/204840WPCERO_sm.gif

[Image of cumulative wind history]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_tracks_latest.png

CENTER OF ELSA MOVING THROUGH EASTERN GEORGIA…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Elsa is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph. A turn toward the northeast is expected this morning, followed by a faster northeastward motion later today.

On the forecast track, Elsa will move over Georgia this morning, over South Carolina and North Carolina later today, pass near the eastern mid-Atlantic states by tonight and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday.

Doppler radar and surface data indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected through tomorrow as Elsa moves over land, and some re-strengthening is possible on Friday while the system moves close to the northeastern United States.

Elsa is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone late Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles, mostly southeast of the center near the coast. A few hours ago, wind gusts of 75 to 80 mph were reported from Weatherflow stations near Tybee Island, Georgia, in a severe thunderstorm in an outer rain band.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Georgia coast tonight and along the South Carolina coast tonight and early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the mid-Atlantic and northeastern states by Thursday night and Friday.

RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts and impacts the rest of this week:

Across northern portions of the Florida Peninsula…additional 1 to 3 inches through tonight, with storm total amounts of 4 to 8 inches. Localized maximum storm totals up to 12 inches across southwest Florida. Additional heavy rainfall may result in considerable flash and urban flooding, along with continued rises to minor and isolated moderate flood.

Across portions of southeast Georgia and the Low country of South Carolina, 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum totals up to 8 inches will be possible this evening into Thursday, which may result in considerable flash and urban flooding.

Across central and eastern North Carolina into southeastern Virginia…1 to 3 inches with isolated totals up to 5 inches tonight through Thursday night, which could lead to limited flash and urban flooding.

Across the Northeast and New England, 1 to 3 inches with isolated totals up to 5 inches Thursday into Friday will be possible. This could lead to limited flash and urban flooding.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible overnight from southeastern Georgia into the coastal plain of South Carolina.

Key Messages:

1. Heavy rainfall may result in considerable flash, urban, and isolated moderate river flooding over northern Florida. Heavy rainfall across southeast Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia may result inconsiderable flash and urban flooding across southeast Georgia and the Lowcountry of South Carolina. Heavy rainfall across the Northeast and New England Thursday and Friday could lead to isolated flash and urban flooding.

2. Although the center of Elsa is expected to remain inland of the coastline from Georgia through the Carolina’s during the next day or two, tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina tonight. Tropical storm conditions are also possible along the coast of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England states by Thursday night or Friday.

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