Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - N of Hudson Bay, Saskatchewan - Canada

    13 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    13 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    15 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    15 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    15 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    16 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    16 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    19 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 66 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia

    34 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    9 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    15 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 6, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa) is located 60 miles west of Tampa, Florida…according to the NHC Advisory 28A

 

Gulf of Mexico

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time of arrival graphic

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[Image of cumulative wind history]

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ELSA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM…HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Elsa is moving toward just west of due north near 14 mph, and a general northward motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Wednesday, followed by a faster northeastward motion by late Thursday.

On the forecast track, Elsa will move near or over portions of the west coast of Florida later tonight and early Wednesday morning.

Elsa is forecast to make landfall along the north Florida Gulf coast by late Wednesday morning and then move across the southeastern United States through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 70 mph with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in the intensity are possible until landfall occurs on Tuesday.

Weakening will begin after Elsa moves inland by late Wednesday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center. Albert Whitted Airport in St. Petersburg, Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 52 mph.

Hazards Affecting Land

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area on the Florida Gulf coast beginning this evening. Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of the warning area in the Florida Keys through this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread northward into west-central Florida and the Florida Big Bend region in the Tropical Storm Warning area tonight and early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Georgia and South Carolina Wednesday night and early Thursday.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels above normal tide levels by as much as the following amounts in areas of onshore flow within the hurricane watch and warning areas…

Englewood, FL to Aucilla River including Tampa Bay…3 to 5 ft Bonita Beach, FL to Englewood, FL including Charlotte Harbor…2 to 4 ft
Aucilla River to Ochlockonee River…2 to 4 ft
Flamingo, FL to Bonita Beach, FL…1 to 3 ft
Craig Key, FL to Dry Tortugas…1 to 2 ft
Ochlockonee River to Indian Pass…1 to 2 ft
Mouth of St. Marys River to South Santee River, SC…1 to 2 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

RAINFALL: Across portions of Cuba through tonight, rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected. This will result in significant flash flooding and mudslides.

Elsa is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts and impacts this week:

Across the Florida Keys into southwest and western portions of the Florida Peninsula…3 to 5 inches with localized maximum totals up to 8 inches through Wednesday, which may result in considerable flash and urban flooding, along with minor to isolated moderate river flooding.

Across the rest of Florida…2 to 4 inches with localized maximum totals up to 6 inches through Wednesday night, which may result in isolated flash, urban, and minor river flooding.

Across portions of southeast Georgia and the Lowcountry of South Carolina, 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum totals up to 8 inches will be possible, which may result in considerable flash and urban flooding.

Across coastal portions of North Carolina into southeastern Virginia…1 to 3 inches with isolated totals up to 5 inches Wednesday night through Thursday night, which could lead to isolated flash and urban flooding..

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today through tonight across the Florida Peninsula. The tornado threat will continue on Wednesday across north Florida, southeast Georgia, and the Lowcountry of South Carolina. The tornado threat should shift to the eastern Carolinas and far southeast Virginia on Thursday.

SURF: Swells will spread northward across portions of the Florida Keys and the west coast of Florida through early Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

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