Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    15 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    16 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    16 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Tunguskhaya, Chukot - Russia

    16 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Hudson Bay, Saskatchewan - Canada

    23 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    24 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    24 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    24 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    26 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    29 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 66 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia

    45 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    9 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    15 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 4, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa) is located 245 miles south of Havana, Cuba…according to the NHC Advisory 19A

 

Caribbean Sea

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/Sandwich/GOES16-TAW-Sandwich-900x540.gif

time of arrival graphic

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]

 

ELSA JUST SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA…CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER THIS MORNING

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Elsa is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest on Tuesday.

On the forecast track, Elsa is expected to move across central and western Cuba later today and head toward the Florida Straits tonight, and pass near the Florida Keys early Tuesday. Elsa is then forecast to move near or over portions of the west coast of Florida on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph  with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible before Elsa moves over Cuba later today, followed by some weakening while the center moves over land. Slight restrengthening is possible after Elsa moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.

Hazards Affecting Land

WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of central Cuba tonight and early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area in the Florida Keys late Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas in the Cayman Islands tonight, and in the upper Florida Keys by Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the west coast of Florida beginning Monday night.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels above normal tide levels by as much as the following amounts in areas of onshore flow within the hurricane watch and warning areas…

Southern coast of Cuba…3 to 5 feet

The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Bonita Beach, FL to Flamingo, FL…1 to 3 ft
Ocean Reef, FL to Dry Tortugas including Florida Bay…1 to 2 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

RAINFALL: Across portions of southern Haiti and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated total amounts of 15 inches remains possible today. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides, some of which could be significant.

Across portions of Cuba today into Monday, rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected. This will result in significant flash flooding and mudslides.

Across the Cayman Islands today into Monday, rainfall of 3 to 5 inches is expected. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding.

Rainfall from Elsa will impact portions of the Florida Keys and Florida Peninsula Monday through Wednesday. Amounts of 2 to 4 inches with localized maximum amounts up to 6 inches will be possible, which may result in isolated flash, urban, and minor river flooding.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible across southern Florida Monday afternoon and Monday night into Tuesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Elsa will spread westward along the coast of Jamaica and the southern coast of Cuba during the next day or two. Swells will increase near the Florida Keys and south Florida early next week.

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