Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 67 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia

    8 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    58 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    59 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    44 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    44 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    11 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    14 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    23 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 3, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa)…is located 110 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica

 

Caribbean Sea

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/Sandwich/GOES16-TAW-Sandwich-900x540.gif

time of arrival graphic

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]

 

 

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ELSA FURTHER EAST…CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE IN EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA LATER THIS MORNING

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Elsa is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). An additional decrease in forward speed is expected tonight and on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest Sunday night or Monday.

On the forecast track, Elsa will move near the southwestern peninsula of Haiti over the next few hours, and then move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba on Sunday.

By Monday, Elsa is expected to move across central and western Cuba and head toward the Florida Straits. Elsa is then forecast to move move near or over portions of the west coast of Florida on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast tonight, with some slight strengthening possible Sunday afternoon as Elsa approaches the south-central coast of Cuba. However, gradual weakening is forecast to occur Sunday night and Monday when Elsa will be moving over Cuba.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are still possible in the hurricane warning area in Haiti for a few more hours. Hurricane conditions are possible in eastern Cuba on Sunday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible for a few more hours over portions of the Dominican Republic, and are expected on Jamaica and over eastern and central Cuba on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Cayman Islands Sunday and Sunday night and in western Cuba and the Florida Keys Sunday night and Monday.

STORM SURGE:A storm surge will raise water levels above normal tide levels by as much as the following amounts in areas of onshore flow within the hurricane watch and warning areas…

Southern coast of Cuba…3 to 5 feet
Southern coast of Hispaniola…2 to 4 feet

The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Craig Key, FL to Dry Tortugas…1-2 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

RAINFALL: Across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected today into Sunday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides, some of which may be significant in nature.

Across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected Saturday into Sunday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides.

Across portions of the Cayman Islands and Cuba Sunday into Monday, rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected. This will result in significant flash flooding with mudslides in Cuba.

Rainfall from Elsa is likely to impact portions of the Florida Keys and southern Florida early next week. Amounts of 2 to 4 inches with localized maximum amounts up to 6 inches will be possible, which may result in isolated flash, urban, and minor river flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Elsa will spread westward across the Caribbean Sea through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

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