CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05L (Elsa)…is located 175 miles east-southeast of Barbados
ELSA APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THERE LATER THIS MORNING
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Elsa is moving quickly toward the west-northwest near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands later today, move across the eastern Caribbean Sea late today and tonight, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.
By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast over the next 12 to 24 hours, followed by little change in strength.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km), mainly to the north of the center.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas in the Lesser Antilles on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Saturday, and are possible in Jamaica Saturday night.
STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.
RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches on Friday across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides.
Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected Friday into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and minor river flooding, along with the potential for mudslides.
Along portions of southern Hispaniola, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches is possible on Saturday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides.