CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 09L (Ida)…is located about 125 miles west of Knoxville, Tennessee
Tropical Cyclone 10L (Kate)…is located about 875 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands
Tropical Cyclone 12L…is located about 335 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands
Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 10L (Kate)
KATE STILL A POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 10L (Kate)
According the NHC Advisory 15…The depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h).
A north-northwestward motion is forecast to begin tonight and continue through early Thursday, followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday night and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical Cyclone 09L (Ida)
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA IS MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY…WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND AREAS OF POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 09L (Ida)
According the NHC Advisory 23…The depression is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to gradually accelerate through Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as Ida becomes extra-tropical and moves offshore by early Thursday.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Ida will track across the Middle Tennessee Valley, Lower Ohio Valley, and northern Mid-Atlantic through Thursday, producing the following rainfall totals:
Portions of the Southeast, including the western Florida panhandle, eastern and northern Alabama, and northern Georgia: An additional 1 to 3 inches through Wednesday morning.
Middle Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley, Central and Southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic: 3 to 6 inches with isolated higher amounts through Thursday morning.
Southern New England: 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts, Wednesday into Thursday.
Considerable flash flooding is possible from the Middle Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley, Central and Southern Appalachians, into the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England, and is most likely from northern West Virginia and western Maryland into southern Pennsylvania. Widespread minor to isolated major riverine flooding is occurring or forecast from the Lower Mississippi Valley into far western Alabama, Allegheny Mountains, and Mid-Atlantic. Rivers will remain elevated into next week.
TORNADOES: The threat for a few tornadoes will be centered today across eastern Alabama, western Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle. On Wednesday, the threat will shift into portions of the Mid Atlantic.
Tropical Cyclone 12L
NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC…FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 12L
According the NHC Advisory 1…The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected tonight, and a westward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or on Wednesday.
A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized shower activity over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
Some slow development of this system is possible over the next couple of days as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph toward Central America.
Thereafter, land interaction with Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico will likely limit further development of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent