Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    8 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 37 km NNE of Pangai, Tonga

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    36 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oakdale, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 23, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Laura)…is located 60 miles southeast of Camaguey, Cuba
Tropical Cyclone 14L (Marco)…is located 150 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River

 

http://bmcnoldy.rsmas.miami.edu/tropics/laura20/LauraMarco_24-26Aug20_southmissvly.gif

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcprob/usa.png

Atlantic Ocean:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/025357_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/13/GOES16-TAW-13-900x540.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132020_wind_probs_34_F120+png/205347.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132020_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/205347_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL1320WPCQPF+gif/205733WPCQPF_sm.gif

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/13L_tracks_latest.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 13L (Laura)

According to the NHC Advisory 17ALaura is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. A turn toward the northwest is forecast by Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move over the Caribbean Sea just offshore the southern coast of Cuba today, and move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday. Laura is then forecast to move over the central and northwestern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected, and Laura is forecast to become a hurricane by early Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Tuesday:

Dominican Republic, Haiti and Cuba: 4 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of 12 inches.

This heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash and urban flooding, and the potential for mudslides across the Greater Antilles.

Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches, is expected over the Turks and Caicos, southeast Bahamas, and Jamaica. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Florida Keys.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area in the Dominican Republic and Haiti through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area in Cuba later today through Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area tonight through Monday evening.

SURF:Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. These swells are expected to spread across Cuba, much of the Bahamas, and the Florida Keys during the next few days.

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean Sea:

Gulf of Mexico: 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/gm/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 14L (Marco)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/145738_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142020_peak_surge+png/215149_peak_surge.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142020_wind_probs_34_F120+png/205851.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142020_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/205851_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL1420WPCQPF+gif/215149WPCQPF_sm.gif

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/14L_tracks_latest.png

According to the NHC Advisory 15A…Marco is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later this morning. Marco is forecast to approach the coast of Louisiana this afternoon, and then turn westward and move near or over the coast through Tuesday. Data from the Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 24 hours, but Marco is forecast to weaken rapidly by early Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Morgan City LA to Ocean Springs MS including Lake Borgne…4-6 ft
Sabine Pass to Morgan City LA…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to the MS/AL Border…2-4 ft
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas…2-4 ft
MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border including Mobile Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by midday Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area on Monday, and hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch areas late Monday.

RAINFALL: Marco is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches across the Central U.S. Gulf coast through Tuesday.

This rainfall may result in isolated areas of flash and urban flooding along the Central U.S. Gulf Coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Marco are likely to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado will be possible early Monday morning near the southeast Louisiana coast.

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

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