Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    24 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    24 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    25 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    38 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    38 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    38 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    39 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    39 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    41 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    44 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    44 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    44 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    45 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 21, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Laura)…is located 130 miles east-southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico
Tropical Cyclone 14L (Marco)…is located 150 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico…

 

Atlantic Ocean:

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/025357_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 13L (Laura)

What the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 9A…Laura is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h) and a generally west-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move near or over portions of the Virgin Islands during the next several hours, near or over Puerto Rico later today, and near the northern coast of Hispaniola tonight and and early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Dominican Republic, and the southern Haitian Peninsula through Sunday. Maximum amounts up to 8 inches are possible along eastern portions and the southern slopes of Puerto Rico, as well as over Haiti and the Dominican Republic. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding, as well as an increased potential for mudslides with minor river flooding in Puerto Rico.

1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches is expected over the remainder of Haiti, the northern Leeward Islands, the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area area later today through Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area Saturday night and early Sunday.

 

 

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure and tropical wave. This disturbance is expected to move westward across the Cabo Verde Islands on Saturday and it will likely produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall there. Some slow development of this wave is possible during the next couple of days while it moves across the eastern tropical Atlantic before environmental conditions become less favorable for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean Sea:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/145738_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 14L (Marco)

What the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 7A…Marco is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A slightly slower northwestward motion is expected for the next day or so, followed by an increase in forward speed by early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Marco will approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico today. The center will then cross the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and move over the central Gulf of Mexico toward the northwestern Gulf on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days as the system approaches the Yucatan peninsula and Marco could be near hurricane strength when it moves over the central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the eastern Yucatan coast within the warning area by Saturday afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are also possible within the watch area by late Saturday.

Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area on the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and Sunday.

Tropical storm conditions are still possible over the Bay Islands of Honduras today.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Sunday:

Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan: 3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. This rainfall may result in areas of flash flooding.

Eastern Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.

Northeast Nicaragua and the Cayman Islands: 1 to 2 inches

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Gulf of Mexico: 

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

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