Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    38 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    51 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    21 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
August 19, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Post-Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fred)…is located about 95 miles west of Portsmouth, New Hampshire
Tropical Cyclone 07L (Grace)…is located 350 miles east-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 08L (Henri)…is located 450 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina

 

Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 08L (Henri)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

time of arrival graphic

What the computer models are showing for TC 08L (Henri)

HENRI EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND…INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS

According to the NHC Advisory 16…Henri is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to through tonight. A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Friday, followed by an acceleration toward the north and north-northeast Saturday and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Henri will remain well offshore of the east coast of the United States over the next couple of days, but it is forecast to be near southern New England on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours, but Henri is forecast to intensify into a hurricane by Friday night with additional strengthening expected this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Swells generated by Henri should continue to affect Bermuda during the next day or so. Swells are expected to increase across much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada later this week and this weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

 

Caribbean Sea

Tropical Cyclone 07L (Grace)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

time of arrival graphic

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/07L_tracks_latest.png

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT GRACE IS A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO…GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA

According to the NHC Advisory 26A…Grace is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected tonight, followed by a general westward to west-southwestward motion at a slower speed beginning tomorrow. On the forecast track, Grace is expected to move away from the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, and continue moving across the southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday. Grace is expected to make a second landfall on the mainland coast of Mexico late Friday or early Saturday. Reports from NOAA and Air Force reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Intensification is likely now that the center has emerged over the Gulf of Mexico, and Grace is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes its second landfall on the mainland coast of Mexico late Friday or early Saturday. Rapid weakening is expected after Grace moves inland over central Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to continue within the warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next hour or two and are spreading inland. Tropical storm conditions will continue this morning along the coast and will spread across the rest of the northern Yucatan Peninsula today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area in mainland Mexico by late Friday, and tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area in mainland Mexico by late Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible along the southern coast of Cuba within the watch area for the next several hours.

RAINFALL: Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts:

Over north-central portions of the Yucatan Peninsula… 4 to 8 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches are expected through Friday. Heavy rainfall from Grace will likely result in areas of flash and urban flooding.

Over central to northern Veracruz, northern Puebla and into Hidalgo… 5 to 10 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches are expected from Friday through Sunday. Heavy rainfall from Grace will likely result in areas of flash and urban flooding, and will also be capable of producing mudslides.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 ft above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center made landfall in the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, and along the eastern mainland coast of Mexico Friday night or early Saturday. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Grace will spread westward from Jamaica and the Cayman Islands to the southern coast of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

 

Gulf of Mexico

Post-Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fred)

Model Forecast Tracks

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED MOVING INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND

According to the NHC Advisory 41…The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL:

RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 5 inches from New York across New England through tonight. This rainfall could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts.

TORNADOES: A tornado is possible this morning over southeastern New York, Long Island, or southern New England.

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