Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SE of Cooma, New South Wales - Australia

    34 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Galvarino Commune, Chile

    53 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.3 - 105km WNW of Kirakira, Solomon Islands

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 9km NNE of Doganyol, Turkey

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Shelton, WA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Faranah - Guinea

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Yakossi, Mbomou - Central African Republic

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Yei, Central Equatoria - South Sudan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Lokoja, Kogi - Nigeria

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jesup, GA Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 57km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Beardstown, IL Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carlyle, IL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 61km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 65 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.5

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Diane

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Esami

    13 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 15km E of Kirkagac, Turkey

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 33km W of Villazon, Bolivia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Southwest Indian Ridge

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twelve

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - East of the North Island of New Zealand

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 48km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    23 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 60 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.0

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Huanuco, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Arequipa, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Portugal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Nunavut, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Thailand

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanzania, Zambia, DR Congo

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    4 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    4 days ago WATCH

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Guatemala

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
March 12, 2019

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 18S (Idai) is located 188 NM north of Europa Island…in the Mozambique Channel

 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/18S/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

Tropical Cyclone 18S (Idai)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Sustained winds are 100 knots with gusts to 125 knots…associated with JTWC Advisory 15

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows the system has maintained its overall convective structure, with compact rain bands wrapping tightly into a deep and symmetric center.

The environment remains favorable with warm sea surface temperatures, good radial outflow, and low 5-10 knot wind shear aloft…partially offset by dry air flowing in from continental Africa.

The system is forecast move westward after 24 hour, followed by a northward and then eastward direction.

TC 18S is forecast to intensify under favorable conditions, and will reach a peak intensity of 110 knots within 36 hours. After landfall over Mozambique, the system will weaken rapidly…leading to dissipation within 120 hours.

 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/99S/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 99S, located approximately 230 NM northeast of Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a broad area of low pressure troughing with no defined low level circulation, and flaring disorganized convection.

Upper level analysis shows 99S is located in an area of moderate 15-20 knot wind shear and good poleward outflow. Sea surface temperatures remain supportive for future development.

The models vary on the overall development of the system reaching tropical cyclone strength. If development does occur, the models show a westward trajectory for the first 2-days, then the system will curve to the south and gradually intensify.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

 

Northeast Pacific

The 2019 hurricane season begins May 15, 2019

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

The 2019 hurricane season begins June 1, 2019

Satellite image of this area

 

Western North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 18S (Idai)

JTWC textual advisory
JTWC graphical track map

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area


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