Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SE of Cooma, New South Wales - Australia

    9 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Galvarino Commune, Chile

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    33 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 9km NNE of Doganyol, Turkey

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    56 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Jesup, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 57km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    19 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Charleston, MO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Beardstown, IL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Carlyle, IL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Faranah - Guinea

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Yakossi, Mbomou - Central African Republic

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Yei, Central Equatoria - South Sudan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Lokoja, Kogi - Nigeria

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 61km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 65 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.5

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Diane

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Esami

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 15km E of Kirkagac, Turkey

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 33km W of Villazon, Bolivia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Southwest Indian Ridge

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Kuchinoerabujima, Japan

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twelve

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Highsurf - Warning (Hawaiian Islands)

    12 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - East of the North Island of New Zealand

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 48km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 60 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.0

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 56km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 65 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.0

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 54km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 70 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.1

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 65 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.6

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Novel Coronavirus – China

    1 week ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 63km W of Amatignak Island, Alaska

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Taal, Philippines

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 60 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 5.7

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nishinoshima, Japan

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    1 month ago ADVISORY

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    2 weeks ago INFORMATION

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    7 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Huanuco, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Arequipa, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanches - Northern India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Southern Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Portugal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Nunavut, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Glacier National Park, Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Thailand

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Kerinci, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangeang Api, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    3 days ago ADVISORY

  • Avalanche - Waterton Lakes National Park, Canada

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tanzania, Zambia, DR Congo

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Zimbabwe and Mozambique

    4 days ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northwestern Angola

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    4 days ago WATCH

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 8km S of Indios, Puerto Rico

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • High Winds - Guatemala

    5 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mitchell, SD Region, United States

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Dengue Outbreak - Philippines

    3 weeks ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
February 11, 2019

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 15P is located 312 NM northwest of Port Vila, Vanuatu

 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/15P/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

Tropical Cyclone 15P

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Sustained winds are 35 knots with gusts to 45 knots…associated with JTWC Advisory 1

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a broad and consolidating circulation, surrounded by flaring convection and developing banding features.

Upper level conditions are marginally favorable with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, strong westward and poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Model guidance is in strong disagreement on the track of TC 15P, and there is the possibility of interaction with Invest area 93P…currently north of Fiji.

 

 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92P/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

In addition, there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 92P, located approximately 165 NM west-southwest of Tonga

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a well defined low level circulation center with persistent deep convection sheared to the east.

92P lies on the border of higher wind shear to the east, while favorable eastward outflow is supporting convection.

Global models agree on a southward track over the next 48-72 hours, as the system continues to develop, with a possible recurve to the west afterwards…due to cyclone interaction with Invest 96P to its north.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

 

 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93P/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

Finally, there’s a third tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 93P, located approximately 560 NM west of Pago Pago, American Samoa

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

 

Northeast Pacific

The 2019 hurricane season begins May 15, 2019

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

The 2019 hurricane season begins June 1, 2019

Satellite image of this area

 

Western North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 15P

JTWC textual advisory
JTWC graphical track map

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area


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