There are no active tropical cyclones at this time
However, there’s a tropical disturbance circled in yellow above, being referred to as Invest 94S…located approximately 590 NM north-northeast of La Reunion Island
Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a broad circulation with disorganized deep flaring convection.
The disturbance is currently located in an area of good poleward diffluence aloft, low wind 10-15 knot wind shear…and very warm sea surface temperatures. The low level vorticity signature is relatively weak and disorganized at this time mitigating near term development.
However, conditions are expected to remain favorable over the next several days, with increased likelihood of development beyond 2-days.
Global models show 94S tracking slowly to the south-southwest over the next several days.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
Eastern North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
Central North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
Western North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
South Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
North Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones
South Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones
Arabian Sea
There are no current tropical cyclones
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