Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 05W is located about 121 miles east of Da Nang, Vietnam

Tropical Cyclone 05W remains at the tropical depression level, passing across Hainan Island…and on to the mainland Chinese coast

Here’s what the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone
Maximum sustained surface winds as of the JTWC Warning #8 are estimated at 25 knots…with gusts to 35

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance, which is being referred to as Invest 90W…located approximately 360 NM northeast of Davao, Philippines

Here’s what the models are showing for this tropical disturbance
Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical disturbance.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated to be 15-20 knots.

Additionally, there’s a second tropical disturbance, located approximately 198 from Guam, which is being referred to as Invest 91W…and has a high chance of developing

Here’s what the models are showing for this tropical disturbance
Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical disturbance.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated to be 18-23 knots.

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying a tropical disturbance in the eastern Pacific…with a medium chance of developing

Finally, there’s a third tropical disturbance circled in orange above…located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical disturbance.
According to the NHC, widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next few days while it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones
Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones
Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones
Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones
Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones
Satellite image of this area
 
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