Tropical Cyclone 05E (Daniel) is located about 545 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Storm Daniel remains active over the open ocean of the eastern Pacific…will begin to weaken into Monday
Here’s a looping satellite image of the east Pacific
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Here’s a near real time wind profile for this tropical storm…and Invest 94E to the east
Northeast Pacific
1.) An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity over a broad area. Development of this system is becoming less likely, and this disturbance is expected to merge with a tropical wave approaching from the east in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
2.) Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that a broad low pressure system has developed about 400 miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to steadily become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week week while the system moves westward, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent
3.) A tropical wave is expected to move out of the Caribbean Sea and into the eastern Pacific by Tuesday or Wednesday. Some subsequent development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form south of Central America or the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the end the week while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days..medium…50 percent
Central North Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days
Western North Pacific
South Pacific
There are no active tropical cyclones
North Indian Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
South Indian Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
Arabian Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
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