CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance (being referred as a Invest 92W), which is located approximately 165 NM south of Guam
According to the JTWC, upper level analysis shows 92W located in a favorable environment, with low to moderately strong 5-15 knot wind shear, and persistent poleward outflow aloft.
Sea surface temperatures will aid further development over the next 48-72 hours.
Global models favor a northwest trajectory, although vary in the time and intensity.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
>>> Finally, A broad trough of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.
Despite marginally conducive environmental conditions, the broad nature of the disturbance is expected to inhibit any significant development while it moves westward over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Northeast Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days
Central North Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days
Western North Pacific
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days
South Pacific
There are no active tropical cyclones
North Indian Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
South Indian Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
Arabian Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
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