Tropical Cyclone Activity Report - Pacific / Indian Oceans - Pacific Disaster Center (PDC Global)

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

By: PDC
February 2, 2016

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific and Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation…and an area of disturbed weather over Madagascar

There’s an area of disturbed weather over Madagascar, being referred to as Invest 94S, circled in yellow above…that has a low chance of developing

This disturbed area was located about 180 NM northwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar, here’s a satellite image

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows an area of broad low level circulation, with flaring convection…that has moved inland over Madagascar

Upper level analysis indicates unfavorable conditions as the system moves into an area of 20-30 knot wind shear…associated with the prevailing westerly wind flow

Model guidance suggests the system will either advance over Madagascar, emerging over the east coast into the South Indian Ocean within 36 hours, with the potential of strengthening over the warm waters there…or moving southward over land and dissipating within 36 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is now downgraded to low

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2016. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2015 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. Here’s the 2015 hurricane season summary

Satellite image of this area