Tropical Cyclone Activity Report - Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

By: PDC
August 24, 2012

Tropical cyclone Tembin (15W) is located approximately 180 NM southeast of Taipei, Taiwan (Typhoon…sustained winds of 75 knots, with gusts to 90 knots)

Tropical cyclone Bolaven (16W) is located approximately 380 NM southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan (Strengthening typhoon…sustained winds of 120 knots…gusts to 145 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying the JTWC tropical cyclone positions, segments, and TAOS estimated wind impacts for typhoons Tembin and Bolaven

Typhoon Tembin (15W) is active in the southern Taiwan Strait. The JTWC forecast shows 15W doing a loop offshore from the east coast of mainland China. Tembin will remain a typhoon as it curves around and makes its way to the northeast…remaining offshore from south, southeast and eastern parts of Taiwan. Heavy weather, including high surf, strong and gusty winds, and flooding precipitation can be expected over parts of Taiwan as it remains in the vicinity.

PDC Automated Wind Impact Report estimates for population and residential unit exposure for typhoon Tembin

Typhoon Bolaven (16W) is active over the western Pacific. Bolaven is forecast by the JTWC to strengthen further into a super typhoon over the open ocean during the next several days. The extended forecast for Bolaven shows it coming very close to, or right over Kadena AB within two days. It is then forecast to pass offshore from the east coast of mainland China, and offshore to the west of South Korea…before making landfall as a weakening typhoon within five days along the North Korean coast. South Korea will receive an edge pass from Bolaven, with possible very strong winds and heavy rainfall, along with high surf along the coast.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation and an area circled in yellow...with a low 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression within 48 hours

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT…THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…20 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map