There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with low chance of developing within 24 hours
There’s an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 92E
Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing
This disturbance has a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a high chance of developing within 2-days
There’s an area of disturbed weather in the western north Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 95W
Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing
This disturbance has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds as of the 09/0600Z JTWC Advisory were 18 to 23 knots.
Eastern North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
1) An area of low pressure located about 550 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds currently affecting this system are expected to increase during the next few days, and any development should be slow to occur while the low moves northwestward and then northward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Central North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones.
Western North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones.
1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 161.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 160.5E, APPROXIMATELY 910 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND SOMEWHAT ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION FLARING UP ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE. A PARTIAL 082312Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS AN AREA OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC AND VOID OF DATA ON THE NORTH AND WESTERN EDGES WHERE CONVECTION IS ALSO ABSENT. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A FILLING TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH JUST TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN AREA OF WEAK RIDGING TO THE NORTHWEST, BOTH CREATING NORTHERLY WIND SHEAR VALUES NEAR 20 KNOTS. OVERALL THE SYSTEM HAS NOT SHOWN IMPRESSIVE CHARACTERISTICS OF CYCLOGENESIS, BUT THE LIMITED ASCAT DATA SUGGEST SURFACE WINDS ARE HIGHER THAN THE OBSERVED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELUDE TO. LIMITED MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT TRACKING THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH MIXED DEVELOPMENT INTO A COMPACT TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO WEAK TROPICAL STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
South Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
North Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones.
South Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones
North Arabian Sea
There are no current tropical cyclones
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