Tropical Cyclone 26W (Meari) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…located about 335 NM west-northwest of Navsta Guam
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying PDC Active Hazards, Tropical Cyclone Segments and Positions, and Estimated Wind Impacts (TAOS Model) for Tropical Cyclone Meari
Tropical Storm Meari is active in the western Pacific
Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…along with what the computer models are showing
Meari will track north-northeast through the next 48 hours…at approximately 07 kts.
Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Advisory #08 were 55 knots with gusts of 70 knots.
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a medium (orange) chance of developing within 2-days
There’s an area of disturbed weather in the western north Pacific Ocean, being referred to as Invest 92W
Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing
This disturbance has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds as of the 04/1500Z JTWC Advisory were 15 to 20 knots.
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a medium chance of developing within 2-days
There’s also an area of disturbed weather in the northern Indian Ocean, being referred to as Invest 90B
Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing
This disturbance has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds as of the 04/1800Z JTWC Advisory were 23 to 28 knots.
Eastern North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
Central North Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones.
Western North Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 26W (Meari)
JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image
1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.3N 109.8E, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM EAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 041032Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE DISTURBANCE. A 040145Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS SHOWS 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION WITH STRONGER WINDS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR, AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHETHER THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH OR MOVE OVER LAND TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
South Pacific
There are no current tropical cyclones
North Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones.
1) TTHE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 85.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 85.0E, APPROXIMATELY 111 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTH. A 041526Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROADENING AND DISPLACED LLCC. DESPITE BEING IN AN AREA WITH GOOD OUTFLOW AND WARM SSTS, THE DISTURBANCE IS ENCOUNTERING HIGH (25 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE SYSTEM TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER VWS, WITH NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
South Indian Ocean
There are no current tropical cyclones
North Arabian Sea
There are no current tropical cyclones
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