Tropical cyclone 06L (Edouard) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…located approximately 680 miles west-northwest of Fayal Island in the Western Azores – Tropical Storm
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 06L (Edouard)
Tropical Storm Edouard was the first major hurricane of the season…although is now gradually weakening
Edouard was the first Atlantic major hurricane since Hurricane Sandy made landfall over Cuba as a Category 3 storm…with 115 mph winds on October 25, 2012.
Here’s a NOAA satellite image of this tropical Storm…along with a looping satellite image.
At the time of NHC advisory #30, sustained winds were estimated to be 70 mph…with higher gusts.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Edouard is accelerating eastward at 16 mph. In a couple of days, Edouard (or its remnants) should turn southward to the west of the Azores Islands.
The coverage of cold thunderstorm tops is gradually decreasing, and the initial intensity has been lowered to 70 mph. Since Edouard will be moving over cooler waters, and experiencing increased wind shear, steady weakening is expected during the next 24 hours.
Edouard should lose its deep convection in 36 to 48 hours and become a post-tropical cyclone by that time.
06L will move eastward and then southeastward around a high pressure ridge during the next 72 hours, and then turn southward by day 4…before impacting the Azores.
Open ocean vessels should be steering clear of this tropical storm. Fortunately there are no land or island areas that are coming under threat from this tropical system.
Here’s what the computer models are showing
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation
Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance, referred to as Invest 95L…which is located just off the west coast of Africa
Environmental conditions aren’t favorable for development at this time, although conditions are expected to improve a little over the next few days.
It appears that this disturbance will move in a west-northwesterly to northwesterly direction.
The NHC is giving this area a low 10% chance of developing over the next two days…which increases slightly to 20% within the next 5 days.
Here’s a satellite image of this area…along with what the computer models are showing.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map
Atlantic Ocean
Tropical cyclone 06L (Edouard)
NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image
1.) A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad low pressure system, is located just off of the west coast of Africa. Although shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days while it moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
2.) A broad area of low pressure could form off of the east coast of Florida over the weekend. This system will have some potential to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics while it moves northeastward near or offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic
Caribbean Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
There are no active tropical cyclones